Stanford
Late Wednesday:
Singles – Second Round: (1) Agnieszka Radwanska def. Francesca Schiavone 6-4 6-3
An efficient start for the only Top Ten player here, but it isn’t worth any points to her yet, and she will be #4 no matter what. She leaves Francesca Schiavone stuck around #55.
Doubles – First Round: (3) Hantuchova/Raymond def. Burdette/Cirstea 2-6 6-3 10-8
Daniela Hantuchova seems to have a bit of a thing for veterans right now: She’s playing with Lisa Raymond this week and Martina Hingis next week.
Thursday
Singles – Second Round: (3) Dominika Cibulkova def. Stefanie Voegele 7-5 7-6(7-5)
Dominika Cibulkova was broken as she served for the match at 5-3 in the second set, but she managed to survive. This win will likely take her from #25 to #21, but that’s as high as she can go this week. Stefanie Voegele will likely be #48.
Singles – Second Round: (4) Jamie Hampton def. (WC) Nicole Gibbs 7-5 6-7(5-7) 6-3
Jamie Hampton is up to probably #26, and will be Top 25 if she wins her next match.
Singles – Second Round: (7) Urszula Radwanska def. Daniela Hantuchova 7-6(7-3) 7-6(7-3)
This was every bit as close as it looks — the two sets took more than two hours. Daniela Hantuchova will stay around #45; Urszula Radwanska looks likely to hit the Top Forty.
Doubles – Quarterfinal: (2) Goerges/Jurak def. Grandin/Rosolska 0-6 6-2 10-5
Baku
Singles – Second Round: Shahar Peer def. (3) Chanelle Scheepers 2-6 7-5 6-3
This should have been Chanelle Scheepers’s chance for a big score, but she adds no points at all and will remain around #70. Shahar Peer finds herself by far the most experienced player left in the top half (which has no seeds left), although she is not the highest-ranked.
Singles – Second Round: (7) Elina Svitolina def. Nastassja Burnett 6-0 7-6(7-3)
Back-to-back quarterfinals for Elina Svitolina, who is up to around #65.
Singles – Second Round: Tadeja Majeric def. (Q) Tereza Martincova 7-6(7-5) 6-3
Tadeja Majeric is up to around #115. And she is the highest-ranked player left in the top half!
Singles – Second Round: (Q) Magda Linette def. Kristyna Pliskova 3-6 6-1 6-2
This will take Magda Linetta above #200.
Singles – Second Round: Galina Voskoboeva def. (Q) Kateryna Kozlova 4-6 6-3 6-1
Galina Voskoboeva is now just below #80; another win would move her above that mark. Unfortunately, she is in the half containing all the remaining seeds.
Doubles – First Round: (4) Pliskova/Pliskova def. Abduraimova/Kapshay 6-2 6-2
Doubles – Quarterfinal: (2) Buryachok/Kalashnikova def. Kremen/Melnikova 6-4 7-5
Doubles – Quarterfinal: (3) Klemenschits/Klepac def. Krajicek/Yashina 6-1 6-4
Six straight for Klemenschits/Klepac. Quite a nice month for them!
Doubles – Quarterfinal: Daniilidou/Krunic def. Linette/Svitolina 7-6(7-4) 6-1
Narrow Focus
When Venus Williams won Wimbledon in 2008, it was her seventh career Slam. And her fifth Wimbledon.
Justine Henin earned seven Slams, and four of them in Paris. Martina Hingis won five singles Slams, and three of them at the Australian Open. Three of the four that Kim Clijsters has won have been the U. S. Open.
Compare that to Steffi Graf, who hardly had a Best Slam, or Monica Seles, who obviously didn’t like grass much but had titles relatively evenly distributed across the other three. Or compare Venus to sister Serena, who also has five Wimbledons — but that’s out of sixteen Slams!
Does this mean that players are getting more specialized?
We can’t give a definitive answer; there just isn’t enough data. But let’s examine as best we can.
We’re going to break Slam winners down into four categories:
One-Slam Wonders
Two or Three Slam Winners
Generalists (four or more Slams, with no Slam representing in excess of half her total)
Specialists (four or more Slams, with one particular Slam representing over half her total)
For example, Francesca Schiavone three years ago won Roland Garros; she is (so far) a One Slam Wonder. Justine Henin had four of her seven Slams at Roland Garros (57%), so she is a specialist. Venus has seven Slams, five of them (71%) at Wimbledon, so she is a Specialist too.
What we’re going to do is take the Slam winners for the last quarter century, divide them into pre- and post-1996 (choosing the end of 1996 as the divider, even though it isn’t the midpoint, because that was Steffi Graf’s last dominant year), classify them, and then take the simple expedient of breaking them up into earlier and later decades.
Obviously our classifications of any of the active players might change (it’s interesting to note that Serena could not have changed her classification at this past Wimbledon. But that’s unusual — usually we would have at least the possibility of some sort of change at a Slam). This is how things stood through Wimbledon. Our Slam winners in this period were:
Azarenka: 2 total Slams/2-3 Winner
Bartoli: 1 Slam Wonder
Capriati: 3 total Slams/2-3 Winner
Clijsters: 4 total slams/Specialist (at the U. S. Open)
Davenport: 3 total Slams/2-3 Winner
Graf: 22 total Slams/Generalist
Henin: 7 total Slams/Specialist (at Roland Garros)
Hingis: 5 total Slams/Specialist (at the Australian Open)
Ivanovic: One Slam Wonder
Kuznetsova: 2 total slams/2-3 Winner
Kvitova: One Slam Wonder
Li: One Slam Wonder
Majoli: One Slam Wonder
Mandlikova: 4 total Slams/Generalist
Martinez: One Slam Wonder
Mauresmo: 2 total slams/2-3 Winner
Myskina: One Slam Wonder
Navratilova: 18 total Slams/Generalist (though a special case because most of her wins predated the four-surface era. You could argue that she was a specialist in “not clay”)
Novotna: One Slam Wonder
Pierce: 2 total Slams/2-3 Winner
Sabatini: One Slam Wonder
Sanchez-Vicario: 4 total Slams/Specialist (at Roland Garros)
Schiavone: One Slam Wonder
Seles: 9 total Slams/Generalist
Sharapova: 4 total Slams/Generalist
Stosur: One Slam Wonder
S. Williams: 16 total Slams/Generalist
V. Williams: 7 total Slams/Specialist (at Wimbledon)
If we break this down by categories, we get:
One-Slam Wonders: Bartoli, Ivanovic, Kvitova, Li, Majoli, Martinez, Myskina, Novotna, Sabatini, Schiavone, Stosur (total of 11)
2-3 Slam Winners: Azarenka, Capriati, Davenport, Kuznetsova, Mauresmo, Pierce (total of 6)
Specialists: Clijsters, Henin, Hingis, Sanchez-Vicario, V. Williams (total of 5)
Generalists: Graf, Mandlikova, Navratilova, Seles, Sharapova, S. Williams (total of 6)
But now let’s break this out by epoch. Our first decade is from Wimbledon 1986 to Roland Garros 1996 (a date we picked partly due to convenience and partly because it’s about when the Steffi Graf/Monica Seles era ended). Slam winners in that decade were:
Graf: 19 Slams in this period (Generalist)
Mandlikova: 1 Slams in this period (Generalist)
Martinez: 1 Slam Wonder
Navratilova: 5 Slams in this period (Generalist)
Pierce: 1 Slam in this period (2-3 Slam Winner)
Sabatini: 1 Slam Wonder
Sanchez-Vicario 3 Slams in this period (Specialist)
Seles: 9 Slams in this period (Generalist)
That’s eight different Slam winners (yes, only eight, even though there were forty Slams played). Four of our six Generalists are represented, and they won 34 of the 40 Slams, with a single Specialist winning three of the remainder, a 2-3 Slam winner winning one, and One Slam Wonders winning two.
Now let’s look at the 17 most recent years. Slam winners in that period included:
Azarenka: 2 Slams in this period (2-3 Slam Winner)
Bartoli: One Slam Wonder
Capriati: 3 Slams in this period (2-3 Slam Winner)
Clijsters: 4 Slams in this period (Specialist: U. S. Open)
Davenport: 3 Slams in this period (2-3 Slam winner)
Graf: 3 Slams in this period (Generalist)
Henin: 7 Slams in this period (Specialist: Roland Garros)
Hingis: 5 Slams in this period (Specialist: Australian Open)
Ivanovic: One Slam Wonder
Kuznetsova: 2 Slams in this period (2-3 Slam Winner)
Kvitova: One Slam Wonder
Li: One Slam Wonder
Majoli: One Slam Wonder
Mauresmo: 2 Slams in this period (2-3 Slam Winner)
Myskina: One Slam Wonder
Novotna: One Slam Wonder
Pierce: One Slam in this period (2-3 Slam winner)
Sanchez-Vicario: One Slam in this period (Specialist: Roland Garros)
Schiavone One Slam Wonder
Sharapova: 4 Slams in this period (Generalist)
Stosur: One Slam Wonder
S. Williams: 16 Slams in this period (Generalist)
V. Williams: 7 Slams in this period (Specialist: Wimbledon)
In the more recent period, we have 23 different Slam winners — almost three times as many as in the decade before even though we have only half again as many years (it’s hardly a surprise, then, that Serena, with 16 Slams, leads the period; 16 Slams would have put her second in the 1986-1996 decade, trailing Graf, and her average number of Slams per year would have put her behind not only Graf but Seles). The only generalists still around were Graf, Sharapova, Serena, who together won 23 Slams — that’s 34% of the total, whereas in 1986-1996 generalists won 85% of the Slams.
In this most recent period, we had five different Specialists, compared to only one in the earlier decade.
Two to Three Slam winners took home 14 of the titles in the latter period, compared to only one in 1986-1996, and One Slam Wonders have nine of the titles in the 1996-2013 era, compared to only two in the decade before.
We must repeat that this situation will change over time; Azarenka, for instance, just promoted herself from One Slam Wonder to 2-3 Slam winner at the Australian Open. But the overall trend appears to clearly lean toward specialization. Certainly it leans against dominant players!
RANKINGS
Estimated WTA Rankings As of July 25, 2013
Rank &
Prior
Rank….Name…………..Points
1..(1) SWilliams ……… 11705
2..(2) Sharapova ……… 9235
3..(3) Azarenka ………..8825
4..(4) ARADWANSKA ………5965*
5..(5) Li ……………..5555
6..(6) Errani ………….5100
7..(7) Kvitova ……….. 4435
8..(8) Bartoli ……….. 4365
9..(9) Kerber ………….3970
10.(10) Wozniacki ……… 3660
11.(11) Vinci …………. 3220
12.(12) Kirilenko ……… 2976
13.(13) STOSUR ………….2965
14.(14) Flipkens ………..2886
15.(15) Stephens ………..2870
16.(16) Jankovic ………..2865
17.(17) Ivanovic ………..2740
18.(18) Lisicki ……….. 2650
19.(19) Suarez Navarro …..2430
20.(20) Petrova ……….. 2306
21.(25) CIBULKOVA ……… 1895*
22.(21) Vesnina ……….. 1889
23.(22) Halep …………. 1885
24.(23) Pavlyuchenkova …..1795
25.(24) Kanepi ………….1781
26.(29) HAMPTON ……….. 1746*
27.(26) Makarova ………..1742
28.(27) Kuznetsova ………1657
29.(28) Safarova ………..1655
30.(32) CIRSTEA ……….. 1620*
DRAWS
Stanford — Week of July 22
…………….QF
1 A Radwanska…(1)Radwanska
6 Lepchenko…..(6)Lepchenko
4 Hampton…….(4)Hampton
8 Rybarikova….
7 U Radwanska…(7)Radwanska
3 Cibulkova…..(3)Cibulkova
5 Cirstea…….(5)Cirstea
2 Stosur……..Govortsova
STATUS OF SEEDS:
1 A Radwanska
2 Stosur………lost 2R (Govortsova)
3 Cibulkova
4 Hampton
5 Cirstea
6 Lepchenko
7 U Radwanska
8 Rybarikova…..lost 1R (Keys)
Baku — Week of July 22
……………..QF
1 Jovanovski…..Jabeur(WC)
8 Dolonc………Linette
3 Scheepers……Peer
5 Ka. Pliskova…Majeric
6 Hercog………Voskoboeva
4 Cadantu……..(4)Cadantu
7 Svitolina……(7)Svitolina
2 Vekic……….(2)Vekic
STATUS OF SEEDS
1 Jovanovski…..lost 2R (Jabeur)
2 Vekic
3 Scheepers……lost 2R (Peer)
4 Cadantu
5 Ka. Pliskova…lost 1R (Majeric)
6 Hercog………lost 1R (Voskoboeva)
7 Svitolina
8 Dolonc………lost 1R (Kr. Pliskova)
WEDNESDAY
Stanford (Full Results)
Singles – Second Round
(1) Agnieszka Radwanska def. Francesca Schiavone 6-4 6-3
(5) Sorana Cirstea def. Coco Vandeweghe 6-3 6-3
(6) Varvara Lepchenko def. Tamira Paszek 6-4 6-4
Doubles – First Round
(1) Kops-Jones/Spears def. McHale/Paszek 4-6 6-3 10-8
(2) Goerges/Jurak def. Cibulkova/Niculescu 4-6 6-4 10-8
(3) Hantuchova/Raymond def. Burdette/Cirstea 2-6 6-3 10-8
Govortsova/Kudryavtseva def. Miyamura/Puchkova 6-3 6-1
THURSDAY
Stanford (Partial)
Singles – Second Round
(3) Dominika Cibulkova def. Stefanie Voegele 7-5 7-6(7-5)
(4) Jamie Hampton def. (WC) Nicole Gibbs 7-5 6-7(5-7) 6-3
(7) Urszula Radwanska def. Daniela Hantuchova 7-6(7-3) 7-6(7-3)
Doubles – Quarterfinal
(2) Goerges/Jurak def. Grandin/Rosolska 0-6 6-2 10-5
Baku
Singles – Second Round
Shahar Peer def. (3) Chanelle Scheepers 2-6 7-5 6-3
(7) Elina Svitolina def. Nastassja Burnett 6-0 7-6(7-3)
Tadeja Majeric def. (Q) Tereza Martincova 7-6(7-5) 6-3
(Q) Magda Linette def. Kristyna Pliskova 3-6 6-1 6-2
Galina Voskoboeva def. (Q) Kateryna Kozlova 4-6 6-3 6-1
Doubles – First Round
(4) Pliskova/Pliskova def. Abduraimova/Kapshay 6-2 6-2
Doubles – Quarterfinal
(2) Buryachok/Kalashnikova def. Kremen/Melnikova 6-4 7-5
(3) Klemenschits/Klepac def. Krajicek/Yashina 6-1 6-4
Daniilidou/Krunic def. Linette/Svitolina 7-6(7-4) 6-1